Sunday Service Play Thread 10/24/2021

[BuzzKill]

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[Lawfrankd]

HITMAN | NFL Total - Sunday, Oct 24 2021 1:00PM
453 CAR / 454 NYG UNDER 44.0 Circa Sports double-dime bet

Analysis: Another totals play where we will fade a team that has put in a "run the ball" mandate on their offense.


Carolina has failed to gain any yardage on 25.2% of their runs YTD, the highest rate in the NFL, yet HC Matt Rhule has come out saying his Panthers are "going to redefine who we are and we're going to run the football. Rhule also went into great length about protecting the football and that he wanted to see 30-33 rushes per game. For context, Tennessee ranks first in the NFL with 34 rushes per game.


The New York Giants injuries on offense continue to mount, with injuries to Kadarious Toney, Saquon Barkley, Kenny Golladay, and Andrew Thomas all possibly out for this game. The Giants implied team total is 20.5, yet this is a Giants team that has scored over 20.5 points in the Jason Garrett era only 8 times in 22 games.

 

[Lawfrankd]

HITMAN | NFL Total - Monday, Oct 25 2021 8:15PM
473 NOS / 474 SEA UNDER 44.5 BetOnlinedouble-dime bet

Analysis:





The Saints last game against Washington has perhaps made the oddsmakers forget that this is a dead nuts under team. The Saints offense ranks last in the NFL in explosive plays (20+ yard gains). In their last 9 non Drew Brees starts over the last two seasons, just twice has a Saints game finished with 45 or more points. Surely this is a game where Sean Payton can instruct Jameis Winston to take care of the ball, as Seattle's offense is unlikely to threaten this Saints defense much.


Why is this Saints defense not going to be threatened? Well, it's because we can expect a run heavy attack from the Seahawks. HC Pete Carroll has said on the run game "That's how we've played when we're at our best for years. There's a lot of people who want to gripe and complain about running the football, but you saw, we scored 20 points in the 2nd half, and we did it by controlling the football game." The Saints are the leagues top ranked run defense in YPC allowed, and were 3rd last season.


With these two offenses being two dead nuts under teams that intent on hiding their quarterback, under we go, good down to 43.

 

[Jk1989]

HITMAN | NFL Total - Monday, Oct 25 2021 8:15PM
473 NOS / 474 SEA UNDER 44.5 BetOnlinedouble-dime bet

Analysis:





The Saints last game against Washington has perhaps made the oddsmakers forget that this is a dead nuts under team. The Saints offense ranks last in the NFL in explosive plays (20+ yard gains). In their last 9 non Drew Brees starts over the last two seasons, just twice has a Saints game finished with 45 or more points. Surely this is a game where Sean Payton can instruct Jameis Winston to take care of the ball, as Seattle's offense is unlikely to threaten this Saints defense much.


Why is this Saints defense not going to be threatened? Well, it's because we can expect a run heavy attack from the Seahawks. HC Pete Carroll has said on the run game "That's how we've played when we're at our best for years. There's a lot of people who want to gripe and complain about running the football, but you saw, we scored 20 points in the 2nd half, and we did it by controlling the football game." The Saints are the leagues top ranked run defense in YPC allowed, and were 3rd last season.


With these two offenses being two dead nuts under teams that intent on hiding their quarterback, under we go, good down to 43.

Really appreciate you posting hitman. Thank you and keep em comin

 

[Lawfrankd]

HITMAN | NFL Total - Sunday, Oct 24 2021 8:20PM
471 IND / 472 SFX UNDER 45.0 Circa Sportsdouble-dime bet

Analysis: Potential weather play on a game I leaned under regardless

​

 

[Jk1989]

Plz don't flame me as the Bonus Play thread for Sunday hasn't been made but Pinnacle sports posted 2 plays so far. He went 17-4 in CFB and NFL this past weekend

4U- chiefs-titans over 56
Atlanta Falcons -1

His Twitter tag is @Pinnacleinfo23

 

[ciuki85]

Greg Shaker
3* Game of the Month
Tampa Bay -12.5

 

[Lawfrankd]

HITMAN | NFL Prop - Sunday, Oct 24 2021 8:20PM
Wentz U225.5

(-115)William Hill 471 IND vs 472 SFX single-dime bet

Analysis: [FONT=&quot]Carson Wentz (IND) U225.5 pass yds -115 (Consensus) [/FONT]

​

 

[Lawfrankd]

HITMAN | NFL Prop - Sunday, Oct 24 2021 8:20PM
JimG U225.5

(-115)William Hill 471 IND vs 472 SFX single-dime bet

Analysis: [FONT=&quot]Jimmy G (SF) under 225.5 pass yds -115 (Consensus)[/FONT]

​

 

[Lawfrankd]

HITMAN | NFL Prop - Sunday, Oct 24 2021 4:05PM
SandersO57.5

(-115)William Hill 465 PHI vs 466 LVR single-dime bet

Analysis: [FONT=&quot]Miles Sanders (PHI) O57.5 rush yds -115 (DK/Caesars)[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]
[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Good up to 62.5 [/FONT]

​

 

[Lawfrankd]

HITMAN | NFL Prop - Sunday, Oct 24 2021 4:05PM
Swift O35.5

(-120)William Hill 463 DET vs 464 LOS single-dime bet

Analysis: [FONT=&quot]D’Andre Swift (DET) O35.5 rec yds -120 (DK/CAESARS)[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]
[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Good up to 40.5 [/FONT]

​

 

[Lawfrankd]

HITMAN | NFL Prop - Sunday, Oct 24 2021 1:00PM
Darnold U

(-115)William Hill 453 CAR vs 454 NYG single-dime bet

Analysis: Sam Darnold (CAR) U240.5 pass yds -115 (DK/Caesars)

 

[GalenThomas]

Colin's Blazin 5 ( 1-4 LW)
*Bengals + 6.5
*Carolina-3
*Eagles + 3
*Tampa Bay - 12.5
*49ers -4

 

[Tiznow214]

Colin cowherd blazing 5bengals +6.5panthers -2.5 (i think hes picked them just about every week)eagles +3bucs -12.549ers -4

 

[BuzzKill]

Brad Powers

UNDER 44 SAN FRANCISCO (Sun) & NEW ENGLAND -7

 

[BuzzKill]

Teddy Covers

Take Philadelphia +3 for Sunday & Tenn/ KC OVER 57.5

E% Eagles

 

[BuzzKill]

R & R TOTAL


Game: (455) Washington Football Team at (456) Green Bay Packers
Date/Time: Oct 24 2021 1:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: D units
Play: Total Under 49.0 (-110)

TOP NFL Over-Under

NOTE: Try to get 49 or better. This play is good to 46.5

 

[ryangenero]

Colin's Blazin 5 ( 1-4 LW)
*Bengals + 6.5
*Carolina-3
*Eagles + 3
*Tampa Bay - 12.5
*49ers -4

12-19-1 so far

 

[GalenThomas]

Marc Lawrence 17 -0 ATS Sunday Prime Time Night Special - San Fan -4 ( Anyone have his NFL *D Revenge Game Of The Month?)

 

[ryangenero]

FOOTBALL JESUS TEXT : 49ers -pts